Forex Analysis & Reviews: 04.08.2026


Bitcoin and Ethereum showed decent growth in the second half of the day yesterday, returning to the battle for key levels.

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Meanwhile, Bitmine Immersion Technologies, led by Tom Lee, purchased another 10,399 Ethereum for $19.5 million, bringing its reserve to 5,797,813 coins worth about $10.8 billion, which corresponds to approximately 4.8% of the asset’s total circulating supply. About 85% of all coins remain in staking, with 4,917,189 ETH at $9.2 billion, keeping the portfolio structure unchanged compared to previous company disclosures.

A much more concerning signal lies in another line of the report. The free cash and liquid securities for further purchases decreased to $173 million from $555 million, as recorded just a week earlier. Such a sharp reduction of the liquidity cushion—almost threefold in such a short period—raises questions about the pace at which the company can continue its accumulation unless it attracts new capital through the stock market.

Currently, the company’s unrealized loss stands at $8.68 billion, which aligns with the trend that has plagued Bitmine for nearly its entire existence as an Ethereum treasury. Losses have fluctuated from $6 billion in February to $7.35-7.5 billion by May, then jumped to $8.9-9.3 billion in June and July amid Ethereum prices falling below $1,800, and have now slightly decreased alongside July’s recovery of the asset by almost 20%. Even with this rebound, the company remains deeply underwater, with the average acquisition price of the first 3.7 million tokens exceeding $4,000 per coin—a level that Ethereum’s current price has not reached, even during the year’s best monthly growth.

As for short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.

Bitcoin

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Buy Scenario

Scenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today upon reaching an entry point around $63,700 with a target growth to $64,100. At $64,100, I plan to exit the buy positions and sell immediately on the bounce. Before buying on a breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome indicator is above zero.

Scenario #2: I can buy Bitcoin from the lower boundary at $63,500 if there is no market reaction to its breakout back toward the levels of $63,700 and $64,100.

Sell Scenario

Scenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today upon reaching an entry point around $63,500 with a target drop to $63,300. At $63,300, I plan to exit the sell positions and buy immediately on the bounce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome indicator is below zero.

Scenario #2: I can sell Bitcoin from the upper boundary at $63,700 if there is no market reaction to its breakout back toward the levels of $63,500 and $63,300.

Ethereum

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Buy Scenario

Scenario #1: I will buy Ethereum today upon reaching an entry point around $1,857 with a target growth to $1,868. At $1,868, I plan to exit the buy positions and sell immediately on the bounce. Before buying on a breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome indicator is above zero.

Scenario #2: I can buy Ethereum from the lower boundary at $1,851 if there is no market reaction to its breakout back toward the levels of $1,857 and $1,868.

Sell Scenario

Scenario #1: I will sell Ethereum today upon reaching an entry point around $1,851 with a target drop to $1,841. At $1,841, I plan to exit the sell positions and buy immediately on the bounce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome indicator is below zero.

Scenario #2: I can sell Ethereum from the upper boundary at $1,857 if there is no market reaction to its breakout back toward the levels of $1,851 and $1,841.



 

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